Derivation of exponential probability distribution of a process duration assuming constant probability rate of process termination

Suppose a process has begun and its probability of termination in a time interval dt is ldt. The probability is assumed independent on time. The probability of a process to survive time t+dt is equal to the probability of a process to survive time t and to not terminate in a next time interval dt. Thus:

P(t + dt) = P(t)(1 - ldt)

dP(t) = -P(t)ldt

dP(t)/dt = -P(t)l

Solution to this differential equation is:

P(t) = P0e-lt

Where P0 is a normalization constant: P0 = 1/e-ltdt

We finally get:

P(t) = le-lt

which is the exponential probability density function.

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